Risk & Mitigation Matrix

Interactive risk assessment with likelihood vs impact visualization

✓
4
Low Risk
Well-mitigated with clear strategies
⚠
2
Medium Risk
Manageable with phased approach
✗
0
High Risk
No unmitigated high risks

Risk Matrix: Likelihood vs Impact

Click on risks to see detailed mitigation strategies

Top 6 Risks & Mitigation Strategies

Comprehensive risk assessment with clear action plans

LOW RISK NDA Violations (Course 1 & 3)

Concern: Epic Games NDA, TCGplayer outdated info

Mitigation:
  • Legal review of Session 1 before launch
  • Public API focus (Unreal docs, GDC talks)
  • No war stories - use generic AAA examples
  • Framework-agnostic teaching
  • Current Shopify/Stripe APIs (2025)
Residual Risk: LOW ✓ - Clear boundaries established
MEDIUM RISK Low Enrollment (Phase 1/2)

Concern: Insufficient student signups

Mitigation:
  • Beta cohort first (10-15 students, validate)
  • Pre-launch survey (40-60% yes expected)
  • Affiliate partnerships (Shopify, LangChain)
  • Deposit locks ($250 to confirm interest)
  • Multiple demand signals (Reddit, job postings)
Residual Risk: MEDIUM - Market validated but execution critical
LOW RISK Poor Student Outcomes

Concern: Students don't succeed or complete

Mitigation:
  • Production-ready code (700+ lines per session)
  • Hands-on exercises with starter code
  • TA support for grading and Q&A
  • Multi-tiered challenges (beginner to advanced)
  • Portfolio-worthy capstone projects
Residual Risk: LOW ✓ - Strong support structure
MEDIUM RISK Instructor Availability

Concern: Joshua's full-time job limits time

Mitigation:
  • Phased rollout (Course 3 first, then 2, then 1)
  • TA support reduces load by 30-40%
  • Pre-recorded sessions (record once, reuse)
  • Async-first design (Discord forums)
  • 15-20 hours/week max (manageable)
Residual Risk: MEDIUM - Manageable with TA support
LOW RISK Technology Changes (APIs)

Concern: Shopify/Stripe APIs change frequently

Mitigation:
  • Teach API versioning best practices
  • Pattern-based teaching (not API-specific)
  • Annual content audits (20-40 hours/year)
  • Version pinning in requirements.txt
  • Upgrade guides for new API versions
Residual Risk: LOW ✓ - Industry standard approach
LOW RISK Market Saturation (Competitors)

Concern: Anthropic, AWS, or others launch competing courses

Mitigation:
  • Head start advantage (launch Q1 2025)
  • Instructor credibility (Epic Games, TCGplayer)
  • Production focus (not just tutorials)
  • Alumni network becomes defensive moat
  • Capstone projects create loyalty
Residual Risk: LOW ✓ - Strong differentiation
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Risk Emergence & Mitigation Timeline

When risks emerge and when mitigation activates

Risk Filter by Category

Filter risks by type, severity, or mitigation status

Risk Category Likelihood Impact Residual Risk
NDA Violations Instructor/Content Low High LOW
Low Enrollment Market Demand Medium Medium MEDIUM
Poor Student Outcomes Instructor/Content Low High LOW
Instructor Availability Instructor/Time Medium Medium MEDIUM
Technology Changes Technical/Platform High Low LOW
Market Saturation Market/Competition Medium Low LOW